129774133153906250_155(Author limuzi) house prices rose too quickly suppressed, first choice for investment in real estate is no longer universal, mortgage through a concession after cancellation, raised its benchmark interest rate, and now again targeted offers "limit, limit quota" are strong measures for the regulation of this new offering, although at the beginning of the introduction is the Chief color heavy, but appeared only to is accelerated real estate regulation as soon as possible.Early last year, all over the State Council announced at the end of March 2011 price target, then announced the first control targets such as Beijing, Shanghai. Today, the place to impose limited price order that is filled with the first anniversary of house prices rising too fast horse was pulled, real estate is no longer the preferred object of national investment, mortgage through a concession after cancellation, raised its benchmark interest rate to ensure rigidity requiredFind, preferential mortgage rates again targeted.����One or two cities to strictly enforce the end of national investment restriction, restriction of credit, investment in real estate as residents preferred the end of times. 1 quarter 2012 depositors of the Bank survey showed that in major investment, 25.7% residents of preference "funds, financial products",3.2% increase in this ratio 4 quarter compared with last year, is a resident of preferred investment; resident of another major investment for the "industrial" (residents of the 16.4% tendency of the investment, is the highest value since the beginning of 2009), "real estate investing" wishes continued to fall, representing lower and 1.4 respectively, and at the end of last year, major investments inFor the third place. Chain real estate analysts Feng Lianlian believes that when a quarter of 2011, resident real estate investment in China ranks first, but after a drop to second from last quarter of 2011, continues down to third in the first quarter of this year, primarily indicates the current effects have touched the optimistic investors for future expected nerve, long term, investmentChinese believe "investing in real estate is not worth" more than the decline in house prices could contribute to the sound development of the market. The will of the residents of the purchase within the next 3 months, 14.1% and quarter on flat over the lowest values since the beginning of the 1999 survey. In people with different income levels, higher-income residents (family monthly income of over $ 50
tera power leveling,000) least willingness to invest in real estate,For 13.7% only.����Mega-cities (Beijing, Shanghai) residents ' willingness to invest in real estate, or less than the minimum levels in early 2009, just 9.4%. CRIC Research Center believes that direct use of administrative powers in nearly two years policy has profound experience in the market to the Government's determination to control prices, house prices up not only falling confidence was lost. ToFor the future, which protected system of propulsion, as well as real estate taxes, graduating to the radically changed investment patterns of China's real estate market, the former segregation effect of the enormous demand for real estate market, especially in the low end market supply and demand will be gradually reversing, and the latter once matured and implemented in major cities within a wide range, it is comprehensive of all products in the crackdown include high-end housing in castOwned space, particularly in the regulation of normal, unilateral upward trend of the market context, virtually risk-free profits over the past ten years real estate investment model is likely to be the end. Premium period of decline expanded Ministry of land and resources on 2012, was released on February 15 priority notification of real estate management and Regulation (hereinafter referred to as the circular), theRequirements in 2012 volume should not be less than of land supply for housing plan 107,700 hectares, a 2010 and 2011 hectares hectares of significant reduction in the level of actual supply. For two consecutive years in the in the "increase the supply of" this year, after a steering "reduce supply", planning to level down to 2009 for the actual level of supply.According to the monitoring of the Central Plains, 13 major urban residential land average stream rate, showed a significant increase from the four quarters of 2011. Apart from Shenzhen, other urban stream rates are at all-time highs, including Shanghai, Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Chengdu, Changchun, and even reached historical highs since the 2008. Under this influence, 2011 13 major urban residential land transactionsVolume fell to about 32%, 2012 1 trading volume continued to decline.����As the stream become highlighted, the notification requirements, stream, flows through the land market this year online reporting in a timely manner the dynamic monitoring and supervision system. Since the regulation in 2011, 13 major cities (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Tianjin, Chongqing,Chengdu, Nanjing, Hangzhou, Suzhou, Wuhan, Changsha, Changchun,) the general downward trend of average land prices, land prices fell by an average of 11% for the year, including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Nanjing, 5 per cent lower than in cities are more than 20%. However, the average land prices fell mainly due to the low proportion of land contract to expand in the suburbs. 2012, the substantivePrice began a significant increase in the phenomenon, 69% appeared February sold land in the substantial price cuts, the ratio was 37% last month.����Prices have fallen at 20%. Housing land digestive cycle extended enterprise more recently land price is loose, showing the current market environment, despite the decline in the supply of land, however, demand in the more obvious. Therefore, the only premiumOne step down, before it can be effective to attract developers to promote land transactions.����However, judging from the stance of the two conferences just ended, real estate adjustment and will continue this year, and not relaxed, allowing developers to Outlook continues to look at light, at the same time, due to the market downturn, land had to extend the digestive cycle, it also makes developers passion plummet on the land market. 2011End of the year, generally elongate digestive cycle storage room rate of soil, such as Greentown China, its digestive cycle storage by the end of 2010 jumped 13 to 24 years. In 2012 the digestive cycle storage, remained on a 24-year highs. Others such as shimao, merchants, Poly, bi Gui Yuan and rongsheng (002146
tera power leveling, unit), 2012 land reserves of the digestive cycleAlso have been high in recent years.����By the end of February 2012, 56% of the digestive cycle for a typical enterprise land reserves in more than 10 years, particularly in Greentown, shimao, merchants, constant, and so clear. Housing analyst Magota analysis says that in many evaluation index of listed enterprises, land reserve digestive cycle changes markedly, many enterprises needed to digest cycleIncrease has been high in recent years. 2009-2010, digestive cycle enterprises of land reserves have increased, but in a slow-growth stage. Vanke group digestive cycle storage at the end of 2009 approximately 3.7 years; the end of 2010, some typical digestive cycle storage room and enterprise growth, shimao property, investment real estate (000024, unit) the digestive cycle increased to 14, China vanke was upgraded to 4 years. According to CRIC monitored immediately after Greentown, digestion and a longer cycle of enterprise storage to shimao, merchants, constant, enterprises digestive cycle is 11 years or so. Magota pointed out that, even for the constant in this type of high turnover business, current total 137 million square meters of land reserveStress, 2011 is constant so far one of the best sales year, monthly sales of 1.02 million sq m, the present land reserves digestive cycle up to 11 years. New opening 30th sales rates record low after the lunar new year, trading volume in the four major cities a new house while rendering recovery of bounced, but 30th sales data show market transactionsConditions continued to deteriorate.����In February, the four cities the average sale rate is only 12.1% for almost half a year to their lowest value, than in January also fell during the spring festival season 8%. City, Beijing's new House on 30th of February sales rate is only 4.1%, even far less 11.4% the Spring Festival in January, for the first-tier cities in the worst. New homes in Beijing citySince January this year has been in extreme cold conditions, the first two months of this year average monthly supply less than the monthly average of one-fourth last year
tera gold, trading volume (removal of subsidized housing) should only be 40% about last month.����Shanghai and Shenzhen sales rate than in January showed a significant decline, 30th of February sales rate is less than 20%. From the contract area of urban housing, suburban propertyLow price advantage gradually faded, urban decline significantly in high-end real estate gradually gained the upper hand. Analysts point out that benchmarking enterprises in cities sales decline occurs because, mainly, is benchmarking companies push the general enthusiasm began to weaken. This period, in benchmarking enterprises only wanke, Fuli poly 3 developers and new supply in four cities, and total new supplySale only 5; and January in the four cities have pushed 8 benchmark enterprises, and as a whole new supply of real estate has reached 25. Even more important is, as the increasing price real estate, benchmarking new sale price of House and Enterprise advantage is no longer obvious. Shenzhen Longgang "Poly garden residential estate" contract price of $ 16,729/square meters, above the areaDomain price 13000-15000 Yuan/sq m. Prices a foregone conclusion of the National Bureau of statistics announced on March 18 February 70 cities nationwide house price changes over time shows that new city reached 27 per cent drop in house prices of goods, 12 more than in January, and cities fell 45, Rose City is 4. ButFrom the ring, not only the price reduction in the number of urban,-also narrowed to 0.1%.����But price decreases in the narrow, difficult situation to override prices fall. Managing Director of centaline property in North China area General Manager Li Wenjie said, no change to the current downward trend of house prices in February from narrowing is affected by a decrease in the Spring Festival factor effect. Spring Festival earlier this year, 1After a month over the Chinese new year, February, new year's day before the Spring Festival and new year's day release in the accumulation of these two sections need set, trading volume rising faster, the decline has narrowed to a certain role.����On the next trend in house prices this year throughout the country, analysts agreed that there are decreases in space, particularly in the urban space. JP Morgan Chief Economist ChuShanghai binsheng stressed that risks within the property market is the largest in 2012. Policies less likely to relax on the property market this year, expected national average house prices fell 5% per cent for the year, part of the first-tier cities might be reduced by 15% per cent. "If started in the area of commercial housing has been falling," he added, "then in 2014 or 2015, house prices couldA rebound will occur. "" Urban mid-tier, low-end housing stock to be traded in one or two lines, driving the price down, but three cities still in the steady increase in house prices. "According to first Pacific Davis, Chairman of China liudeyang. He predicted that 2012 5% around in home prices in cities fall, two or three lines of urban decline in house prices could increase to 10%Around. Dawei Zhang thinks the Beijing centaline property market research department, used to measure a region property on the international healthy rental than generally defined as 1:300.����According to the present situation in Beijing, 1:400 House prices return to reasonable upper limit should be, that is the current fall in prices should be at least 10% per cent of the space. For prices in the followingDrop in the channel, when is a good time to buy, Yang Hongxu believes that from now on, the next six months, including three quarter in the second quarter, are relatively good time.
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